Dario Amodei
An optimistic but safety-aware map of what powerful AI might do first.
This source has not been fully researched yet.
Target date
2035
Scoring lens
Blended score
TBD
Capability score
TBD
Deployment score
TBD
The blended score is our overall estimate for the full prediction. The capability score asks, 'Could the technology exist by then?' The deployment score asks, 'Will it be widely used and visible in the real world by then?' For this prediction, the technology may arrive before the world is ready to deploy it safely or broadly.
Overview
Amodei sketches how sufficiently powerful AI could accelerate biology, neuroscience, economic growth, and democratic resilience.
The big prediction
Powerful AI could compress a century of progress in several domains into roughly a decade.
Evidence for
This source has not been fully researched yet.
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