Demis Hassabis
A lab-builder's forecast focused on capability progress and scientific applications.
This source has not been fully researched yet.
Target date
2030
Scoring lens
Blended score
TBD
Capability score
TBD
Deployment score
TBD
The blended score is our overall estimate for the full prediction. The capability score asks, 'Could the technology exist by then?' The deployment score asks, 'Will it be widely used and visible in the real world by then?' For this prediction, the technology may arrive before the world is ready to deploy it safely or broadly.
Overview
Hassabis has repeatedly described AGI as plausible on a short-to-medium timeline while emphasizing safety and scientific discovery.
The big prediction
AGI may arrive within years rather than decades, with major scientific impact along the way.
Evidence for
This source has not been fully researched yet.
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