Epoch AI
The measurement layer underneath many public AI timeline debates.
This source has not been fully researched yet.
Target date
No specific date
Scoring lens
Blended score
TBD
Capability score
TBD
Deployment score
TBD
The blended score is our overall estimate for the full prediction. The capability score asks, 'Could the technology exist by then?' The deployment score asks, 'Will it be widely used and visible in the real world by then?' For this prediction, the technology may arrive before the world is ready to deploy it safely or broadly.
Overview
Epoch AI publishes empirical research and datasets on AI trends, compute growth, training runs, benchmarks, and model scaling.
The big prediction
AI progress can be tracked through compute, data, algorithms, and benchmark trends.
Evidence for
This source has not been fully researched yet.
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