Martin Ford
A labor-market automation thesis to compare against actual job, wage, and productivity data.
This source has not been fully researched yet.
Target date
No specific date
Scoring lens
Blended score
TBD
Capability score
TBD
Deployment score
TBD
The blended score is our overall estimate for the full prediction. The capability score asks, 'Could the technology exist by then?' The deployment score asks, 'Will it be widely used and visible in the real world by then?' For this prediction, the technology may arrive before the world is ready to deploy it safely or broadly.
Overview
Ford warns that automation could affect a wide range of jobs and force reconsideration of income, work, and economic policy.
The big prediction
AI and robotics will increasingly automate cognitive and physical work, pressuring wages and employment structures.
Evidence for
This source has not been fully researched yet.
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