Sam Altman
The leading AI lab CEO's public abundance thesis, tracked against deployment reality.
This source has not been fully researched yet.
Target date
2035
Scoring lens
Blended score
TBD
Capability score
TBD
Deployment score
TBD
The blended score is our overall estimate for the full prediction. The capability score asks, 'Could the technology exist by then?' The deployment score asks, 'Will it be widely used and visible in the real world by then?' For this prediction, the technology may arrive before the world is ready to deploy it safely or broadly.
Overview
Altman's recent essays argue that cheap intelligence can transform work, science, infrastructure, and living standards.
The big prediction
AI drives broad abundance and a more gradual singularity as intelligence becomes cheap.
Evidence for
This source has not been fully researched yet.
Keep tracking
