Tony Seba
A cost-curve disruption thesis that can be scored against adoption curves outside software.
This source has not been fully researched yet.
Target date
2035
Scoring lens
Blended score
TBD
Capability score
TBD
Deployment score
TBD
The blended score is our overall estimate for the full prediction. The capability score asks, 'Could the technology exist by then?' The deployment score asks, 'Will it be widely used and visible in the real world by then?' For this prediction, the technology may arrive before the world is ready to deploy it safely or broadly.
Overview
Seba and RethinkX argue that converging technologies create fast, nonlinear disruptions in major physical industries.
The big prediction
Technology cost curves drive rapid disruption across energy, transport, food, and related economic systems.
Evidence for
This source has not been fully researched yet.
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